September 2nd news
September 2, 2026 Caustic Soda Core Insights: The current caustic soda price is in a weak rebound (bearish) fluctuation pattern, with insufficient short-term upward momentum. Due to the increase in capacity utilization rate and higher-than-average inventory levels, there is a high probability of weaker performance going forward. However, given that the price is at a low point in multiple cycles, the downside is limited.
1. Average Deviation Change Table
2. Signal Status Judgment
The current three deviation change direction combinations are (+, -, -), which belong to a weak rebound (bearish) signal.
3. Trend Direction Conclusion
The short-term trend for caustic soda prices is oscillatory (bearish). The rationale is: the changes in the 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day average differences compared to the previous day are not entirely consistent, which meets the criteria for an oscillatory market as determined by the average difference method. This corresponds to a weak rebound (bearish) pattern, indicating that the short-term price rebound lacks support.
4. Position Space Reference
For the 60-day and 1-year price cycles, caustic soda prices are both in the first tier (low level, corresponding to the lowest 20% of the price range within the cycle); for the 3-month cycle, prices are in the second tier (mid-to-low level). Overall, there is limited room for further price declines.
5. Trend chart display
6. Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
