[Key Insight] In the short term, MTBE is likely to fluctuate with a slight downward bias. Current prices are at a medium-to-high level, and with insufficient upward momentum, there is downward pressure and the potential for a pullback.
1. Average Difference Variation Table
| Average Difference Type | Value on 2026.09.07 | Value on 2026.09.06 | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-day Average Difference (D5) | -8.80 | -14.18 | + |
| 10-day Average Difference (D10) | 72.11 | 90.49 | - |
| 20-day Average Difference (D20) | 133.04 | 148.04 | - |
2. Signal Status Judgment
Weak rebound (bearish)
3. Trend Direction Conclusion
Oscillation. Reason: The change directions of the three differences compared to the previous day are (+, -, -), not completely consistent, and do not meet the criteria for a clear upward or downward trend. Therefore, the short-term trend is oscillation, with a slightly bearish signal attribute. From a fundamental perspective, Chinese MTBE manufacturers' quotes are mixed, with slight decreases in external market prices in Asia and Europe. Additionally, the demand for downstream gasoline blending is in the traditional off-season, and the follow-up of rigid demand is limited, lacking support for sustained price increases.
4. Positional Spatial Reference
MTBE 60-day and 3-month cycle prices are in the 5th tier (high), while the 1-year cycle price is in the 4th tier (moderately high). Overall, it is in a relatively high price range, with limited room for further increases, and there is a need to be cautious of the risk of a small pullback.
5. Trend Chart Display
6. Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
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