October 15th News
Key Takeaway: In the short term, 1,4-butanediol is trading in a high‑range consolidation with a bearish bias. Current prices are near three-year highs, leaving very limited room for further gains; investors should remain vigilant about the risk of a pullback if demand fails to keep pace.
1. Average Difference Change Table
| Difference Type | Value on 2026.10.14 | Value on 2026.10.13 | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Day Difference (D5) | 6.67 | 23.34 | - |
| 10-Day Difference (D10) | 58.33 | 56.66 | + |
| 20-Day Difference (D20) | 145.13 | 170.17 | - |
The most recent available data is up to October 14, 2026. It is recommended to refer to real-time data.
2. Signal Status Judgment
The current signal is a rebound (with a bearish bias).
3. Trend Direction Conclusion
The short-term trend is choppy (bearish).
Reason: The changes in the three differences compared to the previous day are (-, +, -), not completely consistent, which does not meet the criteria for a clear upward or downward trend. Overall, it is in a volatile range. From a fundamental perspective, the current price is at a historically high level, and downstream industries such as PBAT and PTMEG have low acceptance of high-priced 1,4-butanediol, with insufficient demand. Additionally, as supply increases gradually after some plant maintenance, overall bearish factors are becoming more apparent.
4. Positional Spatial Reference
1,4-butanol prices for 60-day, 3-month, and 1-year periods are all in the 5th tier (high, within the top 20% range of the cycle). The short-term upward potential is largely exhausted, and the downward trend is expected to be slow due to support from previous orders. However, there is significant pressure for a medium to long-term correction.
5. Trend Chart Display
6. Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
