August 28 news
[Key Insight] In the short term, ethanol is experiencing strong, volatile trading with a slightly bullish bias. Currently, it’s at the lower end of its 60-day cycle, leaving very limited room for further downside. On the supply side, plant maintenance activities are providing support, and there’s currently no sustained downward momentum driving prices lower.
1. Average Difference Variation Table
| Mean Difference Indicator | Value as of August 27, 2026 | Value as of August 26, 2026 | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-day Mean Difference (D5) | -8.88 | -6.67 | - |
| 10-day Mean Difference (D10) | -7.56 | -7.77 | + |
| 20-day Mean Difference (D20) | -18.44 | -18.89 | + |
2. Signal Status Judgment
The current signal is strong consolidation (biased towards bullish).
3. Trend Direction Conclusion
The short-term trend is consolidation, with the rationale being: the directions of the three differences compared to the previous day are (-, +, +), and the directions are not entirely consistent, which aligns with the criteria for a consolidation trend. This is a strong consolidation with a bullish bias. Additionally, recent plant maintenance in regions such as Xinjiang and Inner Mongolia has led to a reduction in supply, providing some support to prices and limiting the potential for a short-term decline.
4. Position and Spatial Reference
In the short term (60-day cycle), ethanol prices are in the first tier (low level), with very limited room for further decline; over a one-year cycle, they are in the second tier (mid-to-low level), indicating some upward potential in the medium to long term.
5. Trend Chart Display
6. Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
